Probable is a prediction market on BNB Chain, backed by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs. It allows users to trade outcomes on specific events in crypto, sports, politics, finance, and more, while enjoying zero protocol fees and sponsored on-chain trading fees.
On December 18, 2025, Probable prediction market launched the mainnet beta version of its platform, with plans to introduce a points system in 2026. The launch of this points system often precedes an airdrop. As a result, the CoinLaunch team has prepared a guide on how to qualify for the potential Probable airdrop.
On December 31st, 2025, the Probable crypto app announced an upcoming points farming campaign, hinting at the potential airdrop after the campaign ends, where the points might be the key criteria to qualify for the airdrop.
To proceed with airdrop farming, first, visit the website and make sure your region is not restricted from engaging with the platform:

If you are having trouble accessing it from your region, use a VPN or proxy.
As the main criteria for Probable points will most likely be points, focus on points farming by trading predictions on the market. The app says there is no clear points tracking and leaderboard yet, but it will be adding your points during this time retrospectively.
Here are a few Probable point farming strategies:
Spot the prediction markets available on Probable and other platforms, for example, Polymarket or Opinion Labs, and bet on two opposite outcomes to neutralize exposure and potentially qualify for both Probable + Polymarket/Opinion Labs/etc. airdrops.
Create multiple Probable prediction market accounts and apply the same delta-neutral trading strategies. Considering the platform’s “zero fee” stage, it most likely will cost almost nothing.
❗️ Note: Make sure you use a proxy and do not use the same device to avoid potential Sybil detection and qualify for an upcoming airdrop.
If you are willing to take more risks but potentially earn not only from the Probable airdrop but also from winning bets, this strategy might be for you. Explore the outcomes with very high probabilities near the end of the event deadline, according to your risk-management strategy, and earn some returns from your bets.

Such an approach might make your account appear more human while bringing you additional returns from correct outcome forecasts, especially considering the platform’s “zero fee” stage.
❗️ Important: Keep in mind that even obvious outcomes sometimes might be overturned, so make sure you have a solid risk-management strategy to follow before trading.
Good Luck! 🍀
Visit the Probable app;
Trade outcomes to earn Probable points following our strategies in the “how to join” block;
Explore your points once the campaign goes live in the “points” section;
Keep farming Probable points until the airdrop announcement;
Get your Probable tokens.